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Weekend Update & Market Outlook 9/8/24

Weekend Update & Market Outlook 9/8/24

September 8, 2024

Market Action For Last Week

S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

  • Last Friday's Closing Price (08/30/2024): $563.68
  • This Friday's Closing Price (09/06/2024): $540.36
  • Point Gain/Loss: -$23.32
  • Percent Gain/Loss: -4.14%

Nasdaq-100 ETF (QQQ)

  • Last Friday's Closing Price (08/30/2024): $476.27
  • This Friday's Closing Price (09/06/2024): $448.69
  • Point Gain/Loss: -$27.58
  • Percent Gain/Loss: -5.79%

Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)

  • Last Friday's Closing Price (08/30/2024): $220.08
  • This Friday's Closing Price (09/06/2024): $207.90
  • Point Gain/Loss: -$12.18
  • Percent Gain/Loss: -5.53%

Upcoming Major Economic Reports and Potential Market Moving Events

Monday, September 9, 2024

  • No major economic reports scheduled.

Tuesday, September 10, 2024

  • No major economic reports scheduled.

Wednesday, September 11, 2024

  • Core Inflation Rate MoM: High Impact, 08:30 AM ET
  • Core Inflation Rate: High Impact, 08:30 AM ET
  • Consumer Price Index (CPI): Medium Impact, 08:30 AM ET
  • CPI Seasonally Adjusted: Medium Impact, 08:30 AM ET
  • Inflation Rate MoM: High Impact, 08:30 AM ET
  • Inflation Rate: High Impact, 08:30 AM ET

Thursday, September 12, 2024

  • Core Producer Prices MoM: Medium Impact, 08:30 AM ET
  • Initial Jobless Claims: Medium Impact, 08:30 AM ET
  • Producer Price Inflation MoM: High Impact, 08:30 AM ET

Friday, September 13, 2024

  • No major economic reports scheduled.

Upcoming Major Stock Earnings Reports

Monday, September 9, 2024

  • Oracle Corporation (ORCL): Postmarket
  • Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK): Postmarket
  • Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO): Postmarket

Tuesday, September 10, 2024

  • Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO): Premarket
  • InnovAge Holding Corp. (INNV): Postmarket
  • Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF): Postmarket

Wednesday, September 11, 2024

  • Manchester United plc (MANU): Premarket
  • D-Market Electronic Services & Trading (HEPS): Premarket

Thursday, September 12, 2024

  • Adobe Inc. (ADBE): Postmarket
  • Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG): Premarket

Friday, September 13, 2024

  • No major earnings reports scheduled.

Market Outlook for the Next 30 Days

Bearish: The market outlook for the next 30 days is bearish due to several factors:

  1. Growth Concerns and Valuation Reset: The market is experiencing a valuation reset due to concerns about a potential rough economic landing, driven by soft labor market data and increased growth concerns.
  2. Technical Deterioration: Technical indicators are bearish, with the S&P 500 index down ~4.2% on the week and encountering resistance around all-time highs.
  3. Elevated Volatility: Volatility is expected to remain elevated, with the VIX at a level of 22, indicating heightened sensitivity to economic data and potential market-moving events.